Will the Republicans Take the House?

By Jason Jason | Posted at 0:18

While much of America’s attention during this political season has been on presidential politics, there is more to the election than who will be taking up residence at 1600 Pennsylvania Ave. in January. How the Congress shapes up is a major question, and contributing editor Jason Kettinger takes up a contrarian position in forecasting the balance of power.

The American people are about to demonstrate their tendency for divided government. Contrary to what many pundits are forcasting, voters will return the House of Representatives to the Republicans on November 4.

Though the meaning of the historic lows of the Pelosi Congress have been overstated by commentators – noted Yale political scientist David Mayhew reminds us that Congress's approval rating rarely escapes the 30s – the current, much lower levels indicate a distinct willingness to “throw the bums out.” Rather than an ideological return to conservatism, it will reflect the best-known means of expressing political dissatisfaction, given the bluntness of our political instruments, and the ideological vapidity of our political culture: voting for “the other guy.”

As ironic as it may seem, Mickey Kaus has already noted that a move to hand Congress to the Republicans could reflect an electorate growing more comfortable with an Obama presidency. Moderates and conservatives who defect to Obama still may salve their consciences by enacting this particular check on Obama's ideological predilections. I would also expect McCain partisans – even if resigned to an Obama presidency – to be fervent in their support of Congressional Republicans.

A quick aside, if I may. In addition to the presidency and the congressional races, of course the balance of power amongst governors is also of interest. Missouri has an interesting race in which the incumbent Republican decided not to run for reelection earlier this year, thus reworking a race long thought to be between Missouri Gov. Matt Blunt and Attorney General Jay Nixon. In the end, Rep. Kenny Hulshof became the Republican gubernatorial candidate.

I expect Jay Nixon to be the next Governor of Missouri. Hulshof has long inspired fierce loyalty from his supporters, such as me, but he has not found a compelling narrative in a Democratic year for his candidacy. In addition, Nixon has been fairly effective in at least appearing to get to Hulshof's right on that great conservative warhorse – taxes. Given that the country has also traded military nationalism for the economic kind – protectionism – we'll find that political sin of “shipping jobs overseas” has a special resonance in this race as well. In addition, whatever criticisms of Nixon's positions may be offered, “off-putting leftist” does not strike me as an apt descriptor of him.

The outcome of this race will not be all that surprising for anyone. But, when the Republicans take the house, well, remember, you heard it here.

Jason Kettinger is a contributing editor of Open for Business.



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Allowance Over Building Shell<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>commercial real estate brokers</span> | </span> | </span> | <li>commercial property for lease</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Assessment<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Shopping Malls For Sale</span> | Building Code definedALC Definition<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>commercial property loans</li><li>commercial property for lease</li></span> | </span> | </span> | Default information</span> | abatement</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Allowance Over Building Shell definedGross Lease informationHotels For SaleTerms - Ad Valorem<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Floor Area Ratio informationEminent Domain</span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Terms - Annual Percentage Rate (APR)<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Bullet Loan infoExpense Stop information</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Escrow Agreement information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>above building standard defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Resources info<li>hotels for sale in Florida</li></span> | </span> | Commercial Broker</span> | Allowance Over Building Shell</span> | Office Space Miami Florida</span> |Flex Space<span class=”label-size label-size-4”>Base Year infoDeed Of Trust information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouse for sale Miami</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>office for rent</li>Chapter 7 definition</span> | Sell A Hotel</span> | </span> | office rentals<li>Miami office space for sale</li></span> | warehouses with offices</span> | </span> | Commercial Property Specialists information</span> | </span> | Finance Charge<span class=”label-size label-size-4”><li>Miami office for lease</li>First Mortgage</span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Real Estate In AtlantaBase Rent</span> | Attorn</span> | </span> | Office Buildings For Sale</span> | Carrying Charges<span class=”label-size label-size-2”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Office</span> | <li>warehouse for sale Miami</li></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Bullet LoanGranteeCommercial Property Markets</span> | </span> | </span> | Concessions defined<li>office space in Miami</li>Rent Office Spacecommercial realestate</span> | Terms - Assessment<span class=”label-size label-size-2”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Cumulative Discount Rate defined</span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Capital Expenses definition<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Miami OfficeCertificate Of Occupancy defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Build Out definition<li>office space rental</li>Common Area defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Services informationwarehouse space</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Full Service RentDistraint</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Force Majeure informationCommercial Property Strategies infoLoansBuilding Or Core Factor defined</span> | Comparables definedGross Lease</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-2”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>International Commercial Propertywherehouse</span> | <li>commercial property for sale</li></span> | </span> | Common Area infoAdd-On-Factor defined</span> | Doral Florida<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>land for saleBankrupt<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>office rental</li>Building Standard Plus Allowance info</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>CRE defined</span> | </span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouse for rent Miami</li></span> | </span> | <li>warehouse for rent Miami</li>Clear Span Facility info</span> | Environmental ImpactConveyance information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Base Year</span> | Build To Suit informationCarrying Charges info</span> | </span> | </span> | Land</span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property SolutionsBuilding Code infoAs-Is Condition defined</span> | office space for rent</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Appreciation definition</span> | Terms - Attorn</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Building Classifications<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouse for sale</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Team information</span> | <li>warehouse Miami</li></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouse for rent Miami</li><li>commercial real estate nj</li></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Objectives info<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Economic Rent</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Encumbrance informationCumulative Discount Rate infoCommercial Properties<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>CPM defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Anchor Tenant definition<li>warehouse space</li></span> | warehouse property</span> | International Commercial Property infoCommercial Property Markets information</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-2”>Bankrupt information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | </span> | </span> | Comparables definitionChapter 11 info</span> | </span> | Chapter 7 defined</span> | </span> | Hotel BrokerBalloon Payment definition<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Warehouse Space For Lease<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Contiguous Space defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Bankruptcy defined</span> | </span> | </span> | Commercial Property Consulting infoAMO defined<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Miami Commercial Properties</span> | </span> | Economic Feasibility information</span> | Capitalization Rate definitionBroker defined<li>commercial property</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Development infoProperties</span> | Encroachment informationCost ApproachFirst Right Of Refusal informationTerms - AssignmentShopping Center For Sale</span> | </span> | AMO definition| GrantCirculation Factor info</span> | Broker info</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | Build Out definedCommercial Property ProfessionalsMotels For SaleAppreciation definedCapital Expenses infoAnchor Tenant definedOffice To Lease</span> | </span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-2”>Covenant Of Quiet EnjoymentCIREI definitionConstruction ManagementCapitalization definition<span class=”label-size label-size-4”>Build Out info</span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | Office Suites<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Annual Percentage Rate (APR) definedAnnual Percentage Rate (APR)<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | Warehousing BuildingsBuilding Standard</span> | Contiguous Space definition<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | </span> | national commercial real estate</span> | </span> | </span> | <li>building for sale nyc</li>Encumbrance</span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property ExpertsWaldorf Astoria<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Real Estate Agent<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Concessions infoChapter 7 information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Fair Market Value</span> | </span> | </span> | Building Standard definitionBankruptcy information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Building For Sale</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Deficiency Judgement information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Clear Span Facility definition</span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | Dedicate infoMiami Office Building</span> | <li>office rental</li>Building Classifications definedCIREI infoEconomic Rent informationCorporate Commercial Property<span class=”label-size label-size-2”>Commercial Property Team<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property informationExclusive Agency ListingALC Defined<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-4”></span> | <li>commercial property finance</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Deed in Lieu of Foreclosure info<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-2”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>General Contractor</span> | Commercial Real Estate Listings</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Bankrupt info</span> | Malls For Sale<li>commercial property for rent</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>As-Is Condition definition</span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Terms - ALC</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>First Generation Space</span> | space</span> | First Right Of Refusal (Adjacent Space)</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Gross Building Area<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Building Or Core Factor info<li>office space Miami</li></span> | Efficiency Factor</span> | Commercial Property Strategies information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Flex Space information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-5”>Chapter 11 informationCertificate Of Occupancy info</span> | warehouse for lease<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Cost Approach info</span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>businesses for sale</li>Capitalization Rate info</span> | Building Standard Plus Allowance</span> | </span> | Grantee information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>commercial property for sale</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>office space for rent</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>commercial property for sale</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Brokerage information</span> | Commercial Property Services info<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>warehouses for lease</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>CRB definitionCommercialCRB information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”></span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Property Business informationBelow Grade defined<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Building Standard infodefined<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouse</li>Orlando Florida Office SpaceGeneral PartnerClear Span Facility informationDepreciation information</span> | </span> | CPM definition<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Effective Rent informationConcessions</span> | </span> | Deed Of Trust</span> | Contract Documents<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Consumer Price Index CPI definitionARM definedCapitalization informationCommon Area information</span> | Comparables</span> | Add-On-Factor definitionBuilding Code information</span> | Below Grade information<li>hotel broker</li>Absorbtion defined</span> | Build Out information</span> | </span> | <li>hotel broker</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-2”>Office For SaleCapitalization</span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Appraisal definitionAdd-On-Factor<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Future Proposed Space</span> | MiamiWarehouse In Miami<li>hotel broker</li><li>commercial property for lease</li>Commercial Real Estate Listing<span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Capitalization defined</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>terms - above building standardExpense StopCommercial Property Experts infoGeneral Contractor information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>commercial property for sale</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-2”>Office Buildings<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>commercial property for sale</li>Grantor informationGross Building Area informationCommercial Real Estate Florida</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Donald Trump</span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Commercial Real Estate MortgageCommercial Property OffersMiami Florida Commercial Real EstateCertificate Of Occupancy</span> | Earnest Money information<li>industrial buildings for sale</li></span> | </span> | </span> | Commercial Property Consulting<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>First Right Of Refusal (Adjacent Space) information</span> | <div class=”widget-content cloud-label-widget-content”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Contiguous Space info<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>Contract Documents definedDepreciation</span> | Carrying Charges information<span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-2”></span> | </span> | <span class=”label-size label-size-1”><li>warehouses for sale</li><span class=”label-size label-size-1”><span class=”label-size label-size-1”>CRBCommercial Property Team infoSpace For Rent</span>

Posted by Bo - Feb 18, 2018 | 16:27

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